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Issued at 0300 UTC MON SEP 21 2026 362 WTNT21 KNHC 210236TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 7NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0620260300 UTC MON SEP 21 2026 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 31.9W AT 21/0300ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT 4 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 995 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.50 KT....... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.34 KT....... 60NE 70SE 40SW 50NW.4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 31.9W AT 21/0300ZAT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.2N 32.1W FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.7N 31.8WMAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 15NW.34 KT... 60NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 32.7N 32.5WMAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.34 KT... 50NE 40SE 3...
Issued at 300 AM GMT Mon Sep 21 2026 349 WTNT31 KNHC 210237TCPAT1 BULLETINTropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 7NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026300 AM GMT Mon Sep 21 2026 ...FAY NEARLY A HURRICANE BUT FORECAST TO WEAKEN ON MONDAY... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...34.1N 31.9WABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SW OF THE AZORESMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 120 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 34.1 North, longitude 31.9 West. Fay is now moving toward the east-southeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn to the southwest is anticipated on Monday which should continue through the early part of this week. Maximum sustai...
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026 000FONT11 KNHC 202034PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME ...
Issued at 900 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 000WTNT41 KNHC 202035TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 6NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026900 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 A few more convective bursts have occurred near the center of Fay in the last couple of hours as seen in the visible satellite imagery. Infrared satellite imagery indicates that some of the cloud tops have cooled to near -70 degrees C with the latest batch of convection. The current objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS are in the range of 45-51 kt, and the most recent TAFB Dvorak fix was a T3.5/55 kt. Based on the given data, the initial intensity has been raised to 55 kt, on the upper end of the satellite estimates. The environment that Fay is located in still has moisture for additional convective development and an approaching mid- to upper-level trough should allow for Fay to further intensify for about 12 hours or so. Once the trough lifts on Monday, wind shear should increase and dry air...
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026 000WTNT21 KNHC 202033TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0620262100 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 32.7W AT 20/2100ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 32.7W AT 20/2100ZAT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.4N 32.8W FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 34.3N 32.3WMAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.64 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW.34 KT... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 33.6N 32.5WMAX WIND 55 KT...GUS...
Issued at 900 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 000WTNT31 KNHC 202034TCPAT1 BULLETINTropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 6NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026900 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 ...FAY CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AND COULD REACH HURRICANESTATUS... SUMMARY OF 900 PM GMT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...34.4N 32.7WABOUT 405 MI...650 KM SW OF THE AZORESMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 34.4 North, longitude 32.7 West. Fay is moving toward the north-northeast near 6 mph (9 km/h) this general motion is expected to continue through the rest of the day. Afterwards a turn to the southwest is expected on M...
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026 000FONT11 KNHC 201456PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 1500 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME ...
Issued at 300 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 000WTNT41 KNHC 201456TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 5NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026300 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 Deep convection continues to build near the center of Fay over thelast several hours. The current objective intensity estimates fromUW-CIMSS are in the range of 39-52 kt, and the most recent TAFBDvorak fix was a T3.0/45 kt. In addition, there was an ASCAT passthat showed a peak wind vector of 43 kt. Given the uncertainties due to undersampling, the initial intensity for the storm has been raised to 50 kt. The cyclone continues to remain very compact with its tropical-storm-force winds estimated to extend out to about 40 n mi.Both a relatively moist environment and positive interactions with an approaching mid- to upper-level trough should allow Fay to further intensify for the next 12 to 24 hours. After the trough lifts on Monday, the increase in wind shear and dry air should lead to a gradual weakeni...
Issued at 1500 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026 000WTNT21 KNHC 201455TCMAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL0620261500 UTC SUN SEP 20 2026 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 33.0W AT 20/1500ZPOSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MBMAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.4 M SEAS.... 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICALMILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N 33.0W AT 20/1500ZAT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.0N 33.1W FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 34.3N 32.6WMAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.50 KT... 10NE 10SE 0SW 0NW.34 KT... 40NE 50SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 33.9N 32.4WMAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.34 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 32.9N ...
Issued at 300 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 000WTNT31 KNHC 201455TCPAT1 BULLETINTropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 5NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026300 PM GMT Sun Sep 20 2026 ...TROPICAL STORM FAY STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES TOWARDS THENORTHEAST... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION----------------------------------------------LOCATION...34.1N 33.0WABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SW OF THE AZORESMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS--------------------There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK----------------------At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay waslocated near latitude 34.1 North, longitude 33.0 West. Fay is movingtoward the northeast near 3 mph (6 km/h) and this motion is expectedto continues through the rest of the day. Afterwards a turn to the southwest is expected on Monday. Ma...
